Posts

Showing posts from March, 2026

Growth at a Reasonable Price” (GARP) - value and growth balance

  The safe balance for medium- to long-term investing (3–10+ years) is “Growth at a Reasonable Price” (GARP) — a hybrid approach that avoids the extremes of both pure growth chasing and pure value hunting. Why extremes are risky Pure growth chasers (low priority on valuations) bet everything on future earnings exploding. They often pay sky-high P/E multiples (30–100x+) for “story” stocks. This works brilliantly in bull markets or low-interest-rate environments (as seen in the 2010s tech boom), but it leads to brutal drawdowns when growth disappoints — think dot-com bust or 2022 tech correction. You overpay, and even strong companies can destroy wealth if the price was absurd. Pure value hunters (low priority on growth) buy cheap on P/E, P/B or EV/EBITDA. Historically this has delivered a premium (value stocks have outperformed growth by ~4.4% annually in the US since 1927), but many “cheap” stocks are value traps — dying businesses in declining industries (e.g., legacy retail, o...

Financial red flags visible in public statements that often preceded defaults in cases like these large Indian loan defaulters

  Common financial red flags visible in public statements (annual reports, quarterly results, cash flow statements, and notes to accounts) that often preceded defaults in cases like these large Indian loan defaulters: What were the signs in financials which could indicate this before default came into notice of investors ? what other measures can an investor take to avoid such stocks ? Large bank loan defaulters include Zoom Developers (2,303 crore), Shakti Bhog Foods (INR 2,358 crore), Moser Baer Group (INR 2,050 crore), Surana Group (INR 5,762 crore), S KUMARS (INR 1,458 crore), Siddhi Vinayak Logistics (INR 2,480 crore), Simbhaoli Sugars (INR 906 crore), Gupta Power Infrastructure (INR 890 crore), Frost International (INR 4,736 crore), and Forever Precious Jewellery and Diamonds (INR 4,361 crore). These companies (from sectors such as real estate/development, food processing, optical media, textiles, logistics, sugar, power infrastructure, and jewellery) showed classic distress ...